25 Sept · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1535
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Neterda
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1479
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)