25 Sept · 07:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1555
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slavik
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1530
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (50)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.