25 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1530
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1600
FormWLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H21-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-15)