25 Sept · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1576
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chvatal
MR
🇨🇿Matyas Rojka
ELO 1447
FormLWLWW
60%
40%
🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)