25 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1458
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1563
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 69% (45)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)