25 Sept · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1578
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1510
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)