25 Sept · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Matyas Rojka
ELO 1438
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1535
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)