25 Sept · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1676
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kocab
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1615
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)