25 Sept · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1504
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sulc
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H48-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.