25 Sept · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kosacky
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1636
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kosacky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H77-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-50)