Bartosz Fraczek vs Michal Lysakowski

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25 Sep · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Bartosz Fraczek

ELO 1520

1-3Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1690

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 63%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Bartosz Fraczek — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.55

Favourite won

Total 78.5

75 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Fraczek is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Bartosz Fraczekpre 39% → final 8%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 55 ptsLysakowski recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games