25 Sept · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1528
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molin
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1456
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Molin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H13-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-8)