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Ratings & Predictions
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← TT Cup predictions
25 Sep · 11:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMarcin Stepien
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1610
3-2Final setsStepien won
BFBartosz Fraczek
🇨🇿Bartosz Fraczek
ELO 1514
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 57%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stepien favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 77.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Stepien −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Stepien −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Stepien is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Fraczek.

▲ Marcin Stepienpre 54% → final 78%
Bartosz Fraczek ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsStepien recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games