25 Sept · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1400
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)