25 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1524
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1528
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Molin🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 65% (91)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.