25 Sept · 16:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TS
🇨🇿Tomasz Stachera
ELO 1442
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1654
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+212
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)