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25 Sep · 12:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BFBartosz Fraczek
🇨🇿Bartosz Fraczek
ELO 1522
3-1Final setsFraczek won
JMJan Masternak
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1480
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fraczek at 54%. The actual result was Bartosz Fraczek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Fraczek favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 80.5
78 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Fraczek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Fraczek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Fraczek is favoured to win, below means Jan Masternak.

▲ Bartosz Fraczekpre 51% → final 96%
Jan Masternak ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts67 points · 3 games