25 Sept · 20:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1472
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Henzel
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1466
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Vaclahovsky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Henzel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.