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Ratings & Predictions
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← TT Cup predictions
25 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMarcin Stepien
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1617
3-1Final setsStepien won
DSDawid Stapor
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1591
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Stapor favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 78.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Stapor −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Stapor −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Stepien is favoured to win, below means Dawid Stapor.

▲ Marcin Stepienpre 55% → final 100%
Dawid Stapor ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts55 points · 3 games