25 Sept · 22:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1453
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1455
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (76)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.