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25 Sep · 18:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DBDamian Bucko
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1573
3-2Final setsBucko won
KGKarol Guzy
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1642
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 51%. The actual result was Damian Bucko 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 79.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Bucko is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.

▲ Damian Buckopre 45% → final 89%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsBucko recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games