25 Sept · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1623
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kosacky
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kosacky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H78-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-50)