25 Sept · 22:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1479
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kabelka
MJ
🇨🇿Matyas Jinek
ELO 1391
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🌟Kabelka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)