26 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Petr Kubat
ELO 1369
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1477
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (84)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)