26 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1535
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1544
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Muhlhauser rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (42)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.