26 Sept · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1481
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1502
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Vaclahovsky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.