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25 Sep · 20:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MHMichal Henzel
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1471
3-2Final setsHenzel won
TOTomas Ogrocki
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1480
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ogrocki at 52%. The actual result was Michal Henzel 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Ogrocki favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Ogrocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomas Ogrocki −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Henzel is favoured to win, below means Tomas Ogrocki.

▲ Michal Henzelpre 44% → final 98%
Tomas Ogrocki ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsHenzel recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games