26 Sept · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1547
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Travnicek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1585
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Travnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (62)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.