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25 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GRGracjan Rokita
🇨🇿Gracjan Rokita
ELO 1400
3-1Final setsRokita won
KZKrzysztof Zapala
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1464
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zapala at 53%. The actual result was Gracjan Rokita 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Zapala favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 76.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Gracjan Rokita is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Zapala.

▲ Gracjan Rokitapre 43% → final 99%
Krzysztof Zapala ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsRokita recovered from 43%51 points · 3 games