26 Sept · 11:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1477
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volny
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Volny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (58)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.