26 Sept · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1458
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Langer
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1400
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)