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25 Sep · 22:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SHSimon Holik
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1539
2-3Final setsDohnal won
JDJaroslav Dohnal
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1478
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Holik at 56%. The actual result was Jaroslav Dohnal 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Simon Holik favoured — closing 1.81
Upset
Total 75.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Simon Holik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Simon Holik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Simon Holik is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Dohnal.

▲ Simon Holikpre 60% → final 98%
Jaroslav Dohnal ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts58 points · 3 games