26 Sept · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1531
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Muhlhauser
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1477
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Muhlhauser rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (42)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.