26 Sept · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1477
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1559
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
🌟Vavricka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Hons
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)