26 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1487
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Jemelka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.