26 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1481
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vaclahovsky
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1480
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (50)
Fair odds · Vaclahovsky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.