26 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1552
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1487
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jemelka🌟Jemelka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)