26 Sept · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1552
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1480
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (50)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)