26 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1581
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skalicky
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1547
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.