26 Sept · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1609
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vinansky
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)