26 Sept · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1524
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1527
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (61)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.