26 Sept · 18:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1380
FormWLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1524
FormLWWWL
38%
62%
🌟Matousch covers set handicap as underdog 63% (65)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+144
H2H23-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-3)