26 Sept · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1556
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cibik
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1486
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hula🌟Hula goes over total as underdog 78% (23)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)