26 Sept · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1471
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Reska
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1434
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Przybyla stays under total as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H16-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.