26 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1471
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lorenc
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1523
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Lorenc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.