26 Sept · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)