26 Sept · 20:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1444
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vitasek
RS
🇨🇿Radovan Solle
ELO 1444
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Solle goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.