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26 Sep · 15:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJirasek Martin
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1549
2-3Final setsChmelicek won
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Martin at 60%. The actual result was Martin Chmelicek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jirasek Martin favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jirasek Martin −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jirasek Martin −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jirasek Martin is favoured to win, below means Martin Chmelicek.

▲ Jirasek Martinpre 57% → final 56%
Martin Chmelicek ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts69 points · 4 games