26 Sept · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1371
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Przybyla
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1448
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Przybyla rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (43)
Fair odds · Przybyla
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)