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26 Sep · 17:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TMTomas Motacek
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1506
3-2Final setsMotacek won
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1460
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Motacek at 52%. The actual result was Tomas Motacek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Motacek favoured — closing 1.82
Favourite won
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Motacek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomas Motacek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Motacek is favoured to win, below means Martin Chmelicek.

▲ Tomas Motacekpre 56% → final 99%
Martin Chmelicek ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsMotacek recovered from 39%62 points · 3 games